Last year, my neighbor Jim turned 65, and he was confronted by a bitter truth that millions of Americans are coming to face: what previous generations marketed to us as "the retirement dream" is nothing more than a desert mirage for today's workers. Jim had worked diligently for the same manufacturing company for thirty-seven years by contributing heftily to his 401(k) and anticipating a small pension to complement Social Security. Instead, he received a 401(k) balance that wouldn't last him five years and a pension fund that had been emptied during the bankruptcy proceeding of the company. Jim's story is not just an anecdote—it is the American story. The comfortable three-legged stool of retirement security that our parents used has evolved into a rickety bar stool and millions of workers are left wondering how they're possibly going to stop working for a living.
The death of the traditional pension system didn't happen overnight, but its effects have been devastating for ordinary Americans. Back in 1980, if you worked for a decent company, you could reasonably expect a pension that would pay you a specific amount every month for the rest of your life. That security allowed people to plan, to dream, to actually envision a retirement where they weren't eating cat food. Today? Forget about it. Less than 15% of private-sector workers have access to a traditional pension, and most of those are hanging on by a thread. Companies discovered that it was much cheaper to dump retirement planning onto their employees through 401(k) plans, shifting both the risk and the responsibility away from corporate balance sheets and onto working families who were never equipped to handle such complex financial decisions.
The numbers are staggering and depressing. The typical worker approaching retirement has about $65,000 in their 401(k)—enough to generate maybe $200-300 per month in income. Try living on that plus Social Security, which averages around $1,800 monthly. You're looking at poverty-level income for people who worked their entire lives believing they were building toward a secure future.
What's particularly infuriating is how this shift was sold to American workers. We were told that 401(k) plans would give us "control" over our retirement savings and the potential for greater returns than traditional pensions. What they didn't mention was that we'd also inherit all the investment risk, all the responsibility for making complex financial decisions, and all the consequences when things went wrong.
Let's be honest about what 401(k) plans really are: a failed experiment that has left an entire generation unprepared for retirement. These plans were established to provide tax shelter only for the wealthiest executives; it certainly was not expected that they would be the vehicle for retirement for mid-income Americans. There will be millions of people that will have to make investment decisions -- very significant ones at that - that even professional money managers would have difficulty making.
The average American worker really has too many investment choices within their 401(k) plans; often 20 or 30 different funds that generally have names like "Aggressive Growth" or "Conservative Income Blend." What does someone who changes oil for a living, or teaches kindergarten, know about the differences between a large-cap value fund, or an emerging markets index fund? They are certainly not in a position to make such determinations, and that really isn't what they signed up for with the 401(k).
Even worse, workers are missing out on free money because they simply do not understand employer matching contributions. The typical employer will match employees' contributions up a certain percentage, but studies show about 25% of eligible employees do not contribute enough to qualify for the entire match. That's like turning down a raise, yet it happens millions of times every year because the system is too complicated and poorly explained.
The auto-enrollment features that were supposed to solve participation problems have created their own issues. Sure, more people are enrolled in 401(k) plans now, but most never increase their contributions beyond the default 3% or 4%. That might sound responsible, but it's nowhere near enough to fund a decent retirement. You need to be saving at least 10-15% of your income, and that's assuming everything goes perfectly with your investments and you never touch the money early.
Speaking of touching the money early—that's another massive problem with 401(k) plans. Unlike traditional pensions, which you couldn't access until retirement, 401(k) accounts come with all sorts of ways to drain them prematurely. Hardship withdrawals, loans that are never paid back, and cashing out when changing jobs—an estimated 40% of people cash out their 401(k) when changing jobs (much of the time, for cash flow, not saving for retirement).
The investment menu in the retirement plan is incredibly confusing and has created analysis paralysis for many working-class people, all in exchange for billions of dollars in fees for the financial services industry. Go into any HR office and ask to see the 401(k) investment options, and they will hand you a booklet so thick it can be used as a doorstop that includes confusing (written in "Greek") fund descriptions.
Target-date funds were invented to help ease the confusion of the investment menu, as they would automatically adjust based on your retirement date. In theory, this is a great idea: you choose the fund with the retirement year in its name and professional managers do the rest. However, as we are seeing, different fund companies employ significantly different strategies, and many of the target date funds charge fees that erode your returns over an investment horizon.
The rise of index funds has been one of the few bright spots in this otherwise gloomy picture. These low-cost funds simply track broad market indexes rather than trying to beat the market, and they've saved investors billions in fees. But even here, many 401(k) plans offer expensive, actively managed versions of index funds, or they bury the low-cost options so deep in the menu that most participants never find them.
Ethical and social investing is in vogue, as many new investments come with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) funds. Investing based on your values sounds attractive, however, ESG funds tend to carry high fees and track records that do not justify the cost. For someone trying to get the most from their retirement savings— paying high fees to simply feel good about your investments is a luxury many can not afford.
Social Security was never meant to be anyone's only source of retirement income but for millions of Americans it is becoming their only source of retirement income. Social Security is facing a funding crisis that politicians have kicked down the road for decades and for once the chickens have come home to roost. Projections show that the Social Security trust fund will be out of money as soon as 2034, at which point the benefit payment will face automatic cuts of approximately 20%. To put it into perspective for someone expecting to receive $1,800 a month in Social Security, that benefit would be reduced to approximately $1,440, which for many people would be financially devastating.
The benefit formula itself is based on 30-year old assumptions on work and family life when few women were not working outside the house and men were expected to have steady careers with the same employer for decades. Today's workforce looks nothing like it did in the 1970s, where gig work, job-hopping, and dual incomes are now seen as pretty much the norm.
Women take the biggest hit in how Social Security calculates their benefits. While Social Security benefits are based on your highest 35 years of earnings, women often have gaps in their careers due to their ability to bear children. These years with no earnings skew their lifetime earning average down, affecting their benefits, even if they worked full-time jobs, for a majority of adulthood. Lowering small 401(k) balances, and combining that with the lower number Social Security benefits told us in the last paragraph, it should not be surprising that elderly women are much more likely to live in poverty than elderly men.
The uncertainty surrounding social security only complicates retirement preparation. Financial professionals are recommending more frequently to their clients to assume they receive a reduced benefit when estimating retirement needs, meaning that to maintain their lifestyle, they must add to their retirement bucket, which is a contributing factor, but only one of many limiting factors imperatively creating stressful pressures on a largely ineffective 401(k) system within which to rely upon, to create favorable results for legacies.
Since retirement savings have argumentative failed, Americans have become creative, perhaps desperate, in their pursuits of "retirement" security. With Health Savings Accounts , those individuals privileged to have a high deductible health plan can hold their HSA's as a backdoor type retirement if you adhere to certain guidelines. The HSA contributions are also tax deductible and the funds grow tax free and you can also withdraw with tax free treatment for qualified medical expenditures. Therefore, the HSAs for many, can be more valuable than Roth IRAs because you can employ scarf as a triple tax benefit, but they are tied to a high deductible health plan, and while you are technically saving on your tax bill, could potentially be paying thousands of dollars as an out-of-pocket expense for health care over the course of a year. This situation where our retirement plans cause people to choose between current day needs and future security is still more manifestations of a failing system.
Roth IRAs and Roth 401(k)s have simply become more favorable because people are worried about what the tax rates are going to be in the future but both require people pay taxes now when many families are financially maxed out despite season the upside in the future which has value. The conventional wisdom says to use Roth accounts when you're young and in a low tax bracket, but many young workers can barely afford to contribute anything to retirement accounts, let alone pay extra taxes on those contributions.
Cash balance pension plans represent an attempt to combine the best features of traditional pensions and 401(k) plans, but they're mainly available to high-earning professionals and executives. For most workers, these hybrid plans are as meaningful as traditional pensions. Certain high earners can access deferred compensation plans that enable them to save beyond the limits of a 401(k) plan, but inherent risk exists because the deferrals are not safeguarded. The money discounts creditor claims for the employer, so, for instance, you might lose everything if your employer files bankruptcy. Many executives view that risk as acceptable, which provides context for how difficult it is for the average worker with average pay to save for retirement because of the statutory limits.
Where and how you work has an important outcome in terms of retirement security and has created a patchwork of haves and have-nots across the U.S. Typically, workers in large metropolitan areas have better employer-sponsored retirement plans and/or higher pay that permits them to save for retirement, even while people in rural areas have limited options and lower pay. Similarly, government employees and union workers continue to participate in traditional pensions at far higher rates than private sector individuals, which creates a two-tier pension system where your retirement security is deeply dependent on who you work for. A California school teacher could retire with a nice pension and benefits, but a California retail worker could have only social security and whatever meager contributions they were able to make to an IRA.
The geographic disparity exists concerning retirement as well; retirees are becoming more reliant on moving to lower cost of living areas to make their limited savings last. Although a problem for some time, retirement migration is becoming more desperate as people realize they cannot afford to retire in the communities where they have worked their entire lives. States such as Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina have even created economies around attracting retirees with lower costs of living and favorable tax treatment; while high-cost areas lose both older residents, and all of the economic activity they contributed.
The rise of financial technology has democratized access to investment advice and management, but it's also created new ways for people to make expensive mistakes with their retirement savings. Robo-advisors promise professional-grade portfolio management at low fees, and they've delivered on that promise for many investors. However, they can't replace the human judgment needed to navigate major life decisions or market crises.
Mobile applications have made it easier to check account balances, adjust contribution levels and contribution balances, but have also made it easier to act impulsively in - a market downturn, and make irrational investment decisions. For example, the gamification of investing; treating your portfolio investment decision making like we do with video games. Gamifying investments and treating exactly the same way count as two positives; while this may spark some interest from younger workers, it also embeds very a reckless investing behavior based on short-term gain, unacceptable for long-term retirement savings.
Although artificial intelligence and machine learning are marketed for personalization for retirement advice and guidance, their strength is limited by their starting assumptions. AI may optimize for some mathematical outcome without regard to reality - for example, losing a job or not being able to find a job, a health emergencies, family emergencies, and a many more - that can undermine even the best retirement savings plan.
Cryptocurrency has attracted a bunch of retirement savers, as they always seek higher returns, but are not relevant for most working, informed retirement savers because of its volatility. Some workers investing their 401(k) contributions in Bitcoin is representing both the desperation they feel for their retirement future, as well as lack of financial literacy from an educational standpoint, indicating their investment strategy lends itself to speculative investing.
Congress has tried to address retirement security problems with a series of incremental reforms that feel like putting band-aids on a severed artery. The SECURE Act of 2019 and SECURE Act 2.0 made some helpful changes—raising the age for required minimum distributions, expanding access to annuities, allowing part-time workers to participate in 401(k) plans—but they don't address the fundamental inadequacy of the current system.
State-level initiatives have emerged to fill some gaps, with programs like California's CalSavers requiring employers without retirement plans to facilitate payroll deductions into state-sponsored IRAs. These programs provide basic savings access but lack employer matching contributions and professional management. They're better than nothing, but they're not going to solve the retirement crisis.
The ongoing battles over fiduciary standards for retirement advice reflect deeper problems with the current system. The fact that we need regulations to ensure that retirement advisors act in their clients' best interests shows how broken the incentive structure has become. When selling expensive, inappropriate products to unsophisticated investors is more profitable than providing sound advice, you know the system needs fundamental reform.
Annuities are making their way back on the radar because baby boomers are realizing that they had a pension plan, but now they want guaranteed income from their pension replacement. While immediate annuities may provide guaranteed monthly payments, at the current interest rate they are a poor substitute at best. An annuity priced at $100,000 may produce $500-$600 monthly income for a person who is 65 years old. Also, those payments do not usually increase with inflation.
Variable annuities with guaranteed withdrawal benefits may be the flavor of the month – market goes up, downside protection, and your beneficiaries may get a value if there was a death benefit. When it comes to investment vehicles that require some "monetary commitment," the drawback to variable annuities with guaranteed withdrawal benefits is that 1) it may take time for your investment to recover from the costs, 2) you may not see the effects on the long-term performance of your investments until it is too late – the value has dropped considerably over time.
Insurance companies are not charitable organizations; however, guarantees do come with some form of cost, and invariably the cost is not disclosed until after the fact. The most recent news of offering an annuity option in 401(k) plan establishes that people have a desire for guaranteed income; however, it just introduces another ambiguous asset class to be marketed and sold to unwitting/unsophisticated investors.
Not all annuities are bad, but the complexity of these products makes it difficult for typical workers to make informed decisions. Qualified Longevity Annuity Contracts allow people to use retirement account funds to purchase annuities that begin payments at age 85, addressing the risk of outliving your savings. It's a creative solution to a real problem, but the fact that we need such products highlights how inadequate current retirement savings are for many Americans.
Healthcare costs represent the largest range in retirement planning as they can wipe out a retiree's savings regardless of the savings account balance. Medicare covers most healthcare costs, however, it leaves significant gaps in coverage especially with long-term care that affects most retirees. Long-term care insurance was supposed to cover this risk, but long-term care insurers have been increasing premiums or quit the business. Policies bought many years ago have increased in cost significantly and retired families are forced to either pay outrageous premiums or lose coverage that they felt was certain.
The geographical variability in healthcare costs also complicates planning for retirements. For example, a medical procedure might cost $10,000 in one metropolitan area and $30,000 in another city. Medicare reimbursement does not take into account the variability in healthcare costs. There are some retiree families who can literally lose everything and be forced to move somewhere else just to access medical care. They are forced to relocate even with family and friends living close by.
Healthcare Savings Accounts have excellent tax benefits, however, they only apply to people with high deductible insurance plans. Many families with a high deductible insurance plan are left at risk of thousands in out-of-pocket costs, placing the family in a horrible position of spending current financial outlook on short-term needs, versus future savings for retirement.
Other developed countries have found ways to provide more secure retirement systems, offering lessons that America seems reluctant to learn. Australia's superannuation system mandates employer contributions to individual accounts while providing government support for low-income retirees, achieving much higher savings rates than the U.S. system. The Netherlands and Denmark have created successful multi-pillar systems that combine government benefits, mandatory occupational pensions, and individual savings. These systems achieve high replacement rates while pooling risks across large groups of workers. They prove that it's possible to provide retirement security without forcing individuals to become investment experts.
Even Chile, whose pension privatization was once held up as a model for Social Security reform, has recognized the limitations of pure individual account systems and added government guarantees and benefits. The lesson is clear: successful retirement systems require elements of both individual responsibility and collective risk-sharing.
The trends shaping America's retirement future don't offer much cause for optimism. An aging population, declining birth rates, and increasing life expectancy will put more pressure on pay-as-you-go systems like Social Security while requiring people to fund longer retirements from inadequate savings.
The rise of gig work and alternative employment arrangements is undermining the employer-based retirement system even further. Independent contractors don't get employer matching contributions or access to group retirement plans, leaving them entirely dependent on their own savings discipline and investment expertise.
Climate change and environmental degradation could create new risks for retirement portfolios while requiring massive investments in clean energy and infrastructure. The transition away from fossil fuels will create winners and losers in financial markets, but individual investors will have little ability to predict or prepare for these changes.
Technological disruption will continue to eliminate jobs and create new ones, but the benefits may not be evenly distributed. Workers in declining industries may find themselves forced into early retirement with inadequate savings, while those in growing sectors may have access to better benefits and higher wages.
The stark truth facing American workers is that they have lost what retirement security their parents and grandparents had, which has been replaced with a more privatized gains for financial services companies, and socialized losses for working families. The three-legged stool of retirement security has tipped into a pogo stick, and most Americans will end up on the ground. The changes being suggested, higher contribution limits, better investment, education, etc., evade the general and fundamental issue; individual accounts simply cannot provide the retirement security as pooled and professionally managed pension systems previously provided.
We've conducted a massive experiment in privatizing retirement risk, and the results are in: it's failing for most Americans. The path forward requires acknowledging that retirement security is too important to be left entirely to individual responsibility. Whether through expanded Social Security, mandatory employer contributions, or new forms of risk pooling, we need systems that provide guaranteed income for all workers, not just those fortunate enough to work for employers with good benefits.
The current system works fine for wealthy individuals who can afford professional advice and have the resources to weather market downturns. For everyone else, it's a recipe for poverty in old age. The question isn't whether we need to reform America's retirement system—it's whether we'll have the political will to make the changes necessary to prevent a humanitarian crisis as baby boomers age into inadequate retirement savings.
Time is running out, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Millions of Americans are banking on a system that has already failed them, and unless we act soon, their golden years will be anything by golden.